26) Bayes’ theorem enables decision makers to revise probabilities based on
A) perfect information.
B) knowing, ahead of time, the actual outcome of the decision.
C) additional information.
D) measurements of utility.
E) None of the above
27) List at least two game theory applications.
28) Explain what is meant by a Monte Carlo simulation.
29) With regard to queuing theory, define what is meant by balking.
30) Mark M. Upp has just been fired as the university bookstore manager for setting
prices too low (only 20 percent above suggested retail). He is considering opening a
competing bookstore near the campus, and he has begun an analysis of the situation.
There are two possible sites under consideration. One is relatively small while the other
is large. If he opens at Site 1 and demand is good, he will generate a profit of $50,000.
If demand is low, he will lose $10,000. If he opens at Site 2 and demand is high he will
generate a profit of $80,000, but he will lose $30,000 if demand is low. He also has
decided that he will open at one of these sites. He believes that there is a 60 percent
chance that demand will be high. He assigns the following utilities to the different
profits:
U(50,000) = 0.72U(-10,000) = 0.22
U(80,000) = 1U(-30,000) = 0