Bahouth Ltd. is planning for the next two years of production and debating whether to
construct a large cross-dock facility with 40 truck bays or a smaller one with 20 truck
bays. The cost to build the large facility is $2 million and the cost to build the small one
is $1.2 million. If they construct a large facility and demand is as high as they hope,
then operating costs are $450,000 annually. If they construct a large facility and demand
is low, then operating costs are $300,000. If they construct a small facility and demand
is low, the operating costs are $275,000 but if they experience high demand, the
operating cost of a small facility increases to $600,000. After having conducted some
market research, they feel that the likelihood of high demand is 0.7 and the likelihood
of small demand is 0.3.
Use the information from Scenario 6.1 to determine the likelihood of high demand that
would make the decision maker indifferent between the two alternatives for a two year
operating time.
A) 0.86
B) 0.72
C) 0.28
D) 0.14
Predictable variabilityis
A) change in demand that can be forecasted.
B) change in demand that cannot be forecasted.
C) change in demand that has been planned.
D) change in demand that has been scheduled.