28. Which of the following is not a method used by analysts to estimate an asset’s expected return?
29. A drawback to the historical approach of estimating an asset’s expected return is:
the risk of the firm may have changed over time.
history always repeats itself.
that the range of potential outcomes is often very broad.
all of the above are drawbacks to the historical approach.
30. An advantage of the probabilistic approach to estimating an asset’s returns is:
history always repeats itself.
it does not require one to assume that the future will look like the past.
recent history is more important than future risk.
exact probabilities are easy to estimate.
31. A disadvantage of the probabilistic approach to estimating an asset’s returns is:
history always repeats itself.
it does not require one to assume that the future will look like the past.
recent history is more important than future risk.
that the range of possible outcomes is often broader than the scenarios used.
32. Suppose that over the last 20 years, company XYZ has averaged a return of 13%. Over the same
period, the Treasury bond rate has averaged 4%. The current estimate of the Treasury bond rate is
6.5%. Using the historical approach, what is the estimate of XYZ’s expected return.
33. Suppose that over the last 30 years, company ABC has averaged a return of 10%. Over the same
period, the Treasury bond rate has averaged 3%. The current estimate of the Treasury bond rate is 5%.
Using the historical approach, what is the estimate of ABC’s expected return.