Which of the following is NOT considered in the first filter or phase of top-down
analysis?
A. Domestic spending
B. Fiscal policy
C. Business cycles
D. Monetary Policy
E. Economic indicators
Which one of the following is the best interpretation of this VaR statistic: Prob (Rp ≤
-.15) = 37%?
A. If your portfolio declines by 15 percent or more, that decline is expected to be
followed by a 37 percent increase in value.
B. Your portfolio is expected to lose at least 15 percent, but not more than 37 percent in
any given year.
C. There is a 37 percent chance that your portfolio will decline in value by at least 15
percent over the next year.
D. Sometime in the future, your portfolio is expected to lose 15 percent or more in a
single year, but have an overall average rate of return of 37 percent.
E. There is a 37 percent chance that your portfolio will lose at least 15 percent of its