5) on may 21, 2012, you could have purchased a futures contract from intrade for a
price of $5.70 that would pay you $10 if barack obama won the 2012 presidential
election. this tells you _____.
a.that the market believed that obama had a 57% chance of winning
b.that the market believed that obama would not win the election
c.nothing about the market’s belief concerning the odds of obama winning
d.that the market believed obama’s chances of winning were about 43%
6) a __________ is a private investment pool open only to wealthy or institutional
investors that is exempt from sec regulation and can therefore pursue more speculative
policies than mutual funds.
a.commingled pool
b.unit trust
c.hedge fund
d.money market fund
7) one method of forecasting the risk premium is to use the _______.
a.coefficient of variation of analysts’ earnings forecasts
b.variations in the risk-free rate over time
c.average historical excess returns for the asset under consideration
d.average abnormal return on the index portfolio
8) in a 1953 study of stock prices, maurice kendall found that ________.
a.there were no predictable patterns in stock prices
b.stock prices exhibited strong serial autocorrelation
c.day-to-day stock prices followed consistent trends
d.fundamental analysis could be used to generate abnormal returns
9) at contract maturity the value of a call option is ___________, where x equals the