88.
Your boss, Sally Maloney, treasurer of Fred Clark Enterprises (FCE), asked you to help her estimate the
intrinsic
value of the company’s stock. FCE just paid a dividend of $1.00, and the stock now sells for $15.00
per share. Sally
asked a number of security analysts what they believe FCE’s future dividends will be, based on
their analysis of the
company. The consensus is that the dividend will be increased by 10% during Years 1 to 3,
and it will be increased
at a rate of 5% per year in Year 4 and thereafter. Sally asked you to use that
information to estimate the required
rate of return on the stock, rs, and she provided you with the following
template for use in the analysis.
(must be changed to force Calculated Price to equal
Dividend growth rate (insert correct values)
Calculated dividends (D0 has been paid) $1.00
HV3 = P3 = D4/(rs – g4). Find using Estimated rs.
PVs of CFs when discounted at Estimated rs
Calculated Price = P0 = Sum of PVs = $0.00 A positive number will be here when dividends
are estimated.
The Calculated Price will equal the Actual
Market
Price once the correct rs has been found.
Sally told you that the growth rates in the template were just put in as a trial, and that you must replace them
with the
analysts’ forecasted rates to get the correct forecasted dividends and then the estimated HV. She also
notes that the
estimated value for rs, at the top of the template, is also just a guess, and you must replace it with
a value that will
cause the Calculated Price shown at the bottom to equal the Actual Market Price. She suggests
that, after you have
put in the correct dividends, you can manually calculate the price, using a series of guesses
as to the Estimated rs. The value of rs that causes the calculated price to equal the actual price is the correct
one. She notes, though, that
this trial-and-error process would be quite tedious, and that the correct rs could be
found much faster with a simple
Excel model, especially if you use Goal Seek. What is the value of rs?
a.
11.84%
b.
12.21%
c.
12.58%
d.
12.97%
e.
13.36%