11–14
60. John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not. If he continues his business as it is,
with no expansion, there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will
earn $300,000. If he does expand, there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000, a 30 percent
chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000. It will cost him $150,000 to
expand. The difference in expected earnings if John chooses to expand versus not expand is:
61. John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not. If he continues his business as it is,
with no expansion, there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will
earn $300,000. If he does expand, there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000, a 30 percent
chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000. It will cost him $150,000 to
expand. John expects the value of his earnings to be ________ if he expands and ________ if he does
not expand.
62. John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not. If he continues his business as it is,
with no expansion, there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will
earn $300,000. If he does expand, there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000, a 30 percent
chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000. It will cost him $150,000 to
expand. If John were to expand, which of the following is true?