The following economic model predicts whether a voter will vote for an incumbent
school board member INCUMBENT = 1 + 2MALE + 3PARTY + 4MARRIED +
5KIDS
where
INCUMBENT = 1 if the voter votes for them, 0 otherwise,
MALE = 1 if the voter is a male,
PARTY indicates the voter is registered with the same political party as the incumbent,
MARRIED = 1 for married voters, 0 otherwise, and
KIDS is the number of school age kids living in the voter’s house.
How should we interpret 4?
a.) the likelihood the incumbent candidate is married
b.) the percentage of married voters who vote for the incumbent
c.) the probability a married person is registered to vote
d.) the difference in probability a married voter will vote for the incumbent as opposed
to an unmarried voter
When should a left-tailed significance test be used?
a.) When economic theory suggests the coefficient should be positive
b.) When it allows you to reject the null hypothesis at a lower p-value
c.) When economic theory suggests the coefficient should be negative
d.) When you know the true value of b2 is positive.