14) Luther Industries does not pay dividend and is currently trading at $25 per share. The
current risk-free rate of interest is 5%. Calculate the price of a call option on Luther Industries
with a strike price of $30 that expires in 75 days when N(d1) = .639 and N(d2) = .454.
21.3 Risk-Neutral Probabilities
1) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) In both the Binomial and Black-Scholes Pricing Models, we need to know the risk neutral
probability of each possible future stock price to calculate the option price.
B) In the real world, investors are risk averse. Thus, the expected return of a typical stock
includes a positive risk premium to compensate investors for risk.
C) Because no assumption on the risk preferences of investors is necessary to calculate the
option price using either the Binomial Model or the Black-Scholes formula, the models must
work for any set of preferences, including risk-neutral investors.
D) If all market participants were risk neutral, then all financial assets (including options) would
have the same cost of capital–the risk free rate of interest.
2) Which of the following statements is FALSE?
A) After we have constructed the tree and calculated the probabilities in the risk-neutral world,
we can use them to price the derivative by simply discounting its expected payoff (using the risk
neutral probabilities) at the risk-free rate.
B) By using the probabilities in the risk-neutral world we can price any derivative security–that
is, any security whose payoff depends solely on the prices of other marketed assets.
C) To ensure that all assets in the risk-neutral world have an expected return equal to the risk-
free rate, relative to the true probabilities, the risk-neutral probabilities underweight the bad
states and overweight the good states.
D) In Monte Carlo simulation, the expected payoff of the derivative security is estimated by
calculating its average payoff after simulating many random paths for the underlying stock price.