25. A. Your firm is considering a project that will generate net cash flows equal to
X*a-b, where X is the level of an index of local land prices. You can do the project now, in which the
payoff is received immediately, or wait 1 year and decide whether to do the project based on the
change in land values. Assume that the level of the index is currently x0, and will be either xa or xbv
in 1 year. The riskfree rate is rf% per year. Is waiting better than doing the project immediately?
B. What would change in the analysis if one recognized that, for an investment of $x0 in land, one
would receive rents of $rent in addition to the ending value of the land? Should waiting become more
or less attractive (whether or not the decision actually changes)?
26. Suppose gold is currently trading at $s per ounce. The annual volatility of the price of gold is sg%, and
the continuously compounded riskfree rate is rf% per year. If we make an investment of $invest today,
we will have the opportunity to sell some gold jewelry in one year. Each item will use one ounce of
gold and require additional expenses of $adex. We will be able to sell sell items (assume there is no
uncertainty about the demand) for $p1 each next year, and no more after that. If the price of gold next
year is unfavorable, we can choose not to produce the gold, and thereby avoid the gold and additional
expenses. Except for today’s investment, all cash flows occur in one year. Should the investment be
made?
ESSAY