Long recessions often follow banking crises because:
banking crises may cause a surplus of credit, so that interest rates fall to levels so
low that investors earn very little in interest income.
the vicious cycle of deleveraging that follows leads to overpriced assets.
consumer and investment spending increase too rapidly, causing high rates of
inflation.
monetary policy is not very effective because banks hold on to excess reserves and
are unwilling to lend them out.
After a banking crisis, when the Federal Reserve buys government securities to increase
the money supply and decrease interest rates:
consumers and businesses may not respond by increasing their spending because of
debt overhang.
consumers and businesses usually borrow too much and spend too much, causing
inflation.
banks may fear runs, so they hold on to excess reserves rather than lending them to
consumers and businesses.
consumers and businesses may not respond because the recession has increased the
value of their assets so much that they don’t need to borrow money to buy more.
Since the 1930s, following banking crises, if financial institutions are not able to borrow
in private credit markets:
the Federal Reserve takes a laissez-faire attitude, allowing market forces to
determine which institutions will survive.
the Federal Reserve may act as a lender of last resort.
the U.S. Treasury may make short-term loans to them.
they are not allowed to engage in maturity transformation until their financial
condition improves.
Policy for dealing with banking crises changed from laissez-faire to taking steps to
contain the damage from bank failures:
after Ronald Reagan became president in 1980.
after World War II in 1945.
during the Great Depression in the 1930s.
after the Civil War in the 1860s.