Chapter 12: Strategic Investment Decisions 12-23
6. (Appendix 12A) Under what conditions would it be most appropriate to use the nominal method for
capital budget analysis?
7. (Appendix 12A) The real discount rate can be decomposed into two pieces. Describe each one.
8. Roger is considering opening a restaurant located near the local university. He has considerable
management experience in the restaurant business, but has never before been an owner. He found
that the net present value for this investment is positive. List one uncertainty and one qualitative
factor that might influence this decision, and explain your reasoning.
9. How does sensitivity analysis allow managers to consider uncertainties in capital budgeting
decisions?
Problems
1. (Appendix 12A) Professor Mills is thinking about publishing a self-help guide for people who wish
to prepare their own income tax returns. She has spent the last year working on the book and
estimates that she spent roughly 200 hours on it. Her time is worth $20 per hour. She plans to
publish the book herself. To do this, she has to purchase a copy machine costing $75,000 and employ
someone to run the machine at $8,000 per year. The variable cost per book will be about $2.00. She
will sell the books for $8.00. She is planning to update the book each year for five years. Updates
will require about 50 hours per year of her time. Mills believes that she can sell about 5,000 books
per year. The copy machine qualifies for the three-year MACRS category (0.3333 first year, 0.4445
second year, 0.1481 third year, and 0.0741 fourth year). Her marginal income tax rate is 25%. If she
does not invest in this opportunity, she can invest the $75,000 in a mutual fund that has been
returning 10%-15% per year over the last few years. Mills has asked you to help her decide whether
she should buy the machine and become a publisher.
a. Create a cash flow schedule using the nominal method, assuming a risk-free rate of 4%, a risk
premium of 6%, and an inflation rate of 2%. Determine the NPV.
b. When you present your calculations to Professor Mills, she suggests that some of the costs or
rates might change over time. You have already thought about this, and you present her with
some sensitivity analysis. (She is very impressed.) Identify three things that you varied in your
analysis, and explain your choices.
c. Identify two potential costs for this project that Professor Mills might have overlooked.
d. Write a brief paragraph for Professor Mills that discusses the pros and cons of launching the
project.
2. Fuel Pump Manufacturers (FPM) is negotiating with Pop’s Auto Supply, a national chain, to supply
fuel pumps for the next 4 years. Pop’s guarantees to purchase 1 million fuel pumps each year at a
predetermined price. FPM would need to invest in additional machinery at a cost of $2 million.
Other incremental costs associated with the order include $250,000 per year for fixed costs and $5 per
fuel pump for variable costs. FPM has already spent $20,000 in legal fees and travel costs attempting
to land this contract with Pop’s. The terminal value of the machinery is expected to be $200,000 at
the end of 4 years. The machinery would be depreciated for income tax purposes using straight line
depreciation over a 4-year life and ignoring the half-year convention. FPM’s marginal income tax
rate is 30%, and its discount rate is 12%.
The present value annuity factors for 12% are: 1 year = 0.893, 2 years = 1.690, 3 years = 2.402, 4
years = 3.037 and 5 years = 3.605.
a. What is the minimum acceptable price for the fuel pumps? Hint: This is the price that would
result in an NPV of zero.
b. Describe three uncertainties about the NPV computations in part (a).