D.technology; impact of random variation
E.forecasting; stabilization of demand
13) The new owner of a beauty shop is trying to decide whether to hire one, two, or
three beauticians. She estimates that profits next year (in thousands of dollars) will vary
with demand for her services, and she has estimated demand in three categories, low,
medium, and high.
If she feels the chances of low, medium, and high demand are 50 percent, 20 percent,
and 30 percent respectively, what is her expected value of perfect information?
A.$54,000
B.$65,000
C.$70,000
D.$80,000
E.$135,000
14) Consider the following decision scenario:
If you are uncertain which state of nature will occur, and use the maximax criterion,
which alternative will you select?
15) A methods and measurements analyst for Timepiece, Inc., needs to develop a time
standard for the task of attaching a watch to a wristband. In a preliminary study, he
observed one of his workers perform this task five times, with the following results: