Use the information below to answer the following question(s).
Hats-R-Us would like to produce a new design of hats for the upcoming Major league
Baseball World Series. They need to decide to produce a large quantity or small
quantity of hats prior to the event starting. Eventual demand for this new design will be
strong or weak with a 50/50 chance of each level occurring. The following table shows
the payoff for each combination of production size and demand level, in thousands of
dollars.
Hats-R-Us also has the option of conducting a market survey at a cost of $10,000 to
acquire more accurate information about the likelihood of each demand level. If the
survey results are positive, there is an 83% probability that the eventual demand for the
new hat design will be strong. If the survey results are negative, there is a 23%
probability that the eventual demand for the new hat design will be strong.
Construct a decision tree to answer the following set of questions.
The expected monetary value, in thousands of dollars, for a small production quantity if
Hats-R-Us chooses not to conduct a market survey is _________.
A) $110.0
B) $137.5
C) $186.2
D) $211.0