The city golf course is interested in starting a junior golf program. The golf pro has
collected data on the number of youths under 13 that have played golf during the last 4
months. Using a three-month moving average (with weights of 5, 3, and 1 for the most
current value, next most current value and oldest value, respectively), the forecast value
for October made at the end of September in the following time series would be
__________.
a) 24
b) 21
c) 21.56
d) 19.22
e) 22
The high and low values of the “ratios of actuals to moving average” are ignored when
finalizing the seasonal index for a period (month or quarter) in time series
decomposition. The rationale for this is to ________.
a) reduce the sample size
b) eliminate autocorrelation
c) minimize serial correlation
d) eliminate the irregular component
e) eliminate the trend