Chapter 06 – Bonds, Bond Prices, and the Determination of Interest Rates
124. The Fisher effect refers to a situation where a change in expected inflation is offset one-
for-one with a change in nominal interest rates (yield to maturity). Specifically, the real
interest rate remains unchanged and the amount of borrowing remains unchanged. Assuming
an increase in expected inflation, explain how this change would be reflected in the bond
market. What would happen to bond prices and the quantity of bonds outstanding?
125. At the time the government of Bulgrovia issued new bonds, they issued them at a price
that reflected the risk-free rate because investors had no concerns regarding default risk, so
did not require a risk premium. That risk-free rate was 4%. These bonds currently have one
year to maturity and you notice the yield is 20%. Can you calculate the probability that the
Bulgrovian government will default?