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(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Use Table: Choice with Uncertainty. Suppose that the
probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 30%, that it makes it to
television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 50%, and that it makes it to
television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%. Given this information,
Norman, as a utility maximizer:
should keep his teaching job.
should quit his teaching job and go to Hollywood.
will be indifferent between leaving and staying because his expected income is the
same whether he stays a teacher or moves to Hollywood.
will be indifferent between leaving and staying because his expected total utility is
the same whether he stays a teacher or moves to Hollywood.
(Scenario: Choosing Insurance) Use Scenario: Choosing Insurance. For $2,000, the
Ramirez family can buy insurance that will cover the full cost of repairs. If family
members are risk-averse and want to maximize their expected utility, they will:
Scenario: Choosing Insurance
The Ramirez family owns three cars and is considering buying insurance to cover the
cost of repairs. They face two possible states: in state 1, their cars need no repairs and
their income available for purchasing other goods and services is $50,000; in state 2,
their cars need $10,000 worth of repairs and their income available for purchasing other
goods and services is reduced to $40,000. The probability of repairs is 10%, while the
probability of no repairs is 90%.
be indifferent between buying and not buying the insurance since their expected
income for purchasing other goods and services is $48,000 regardless of what they
do.
buy the insurance as long as the utility of having a certain income of $48,000 to
buy goods and services other than car repairs is higher than the utility associated
with their expected income without insurance.