52. behavioral
53. Feedback
54. decision style
55. devil’s advocate
56. after-action review
57. directive
58. Satisficing
59. 1. Start with brainstorming.
2. Use hard evidence.
3. Engage in rigorous debate.
4. Avoid groupthink.
5. Know when to bail.
6. Do a postmortem.
60. 1. What is the state of disequilibrium affecting us?
2. When did it occur?
3. Where did it occur?
4. How did it occur?
5. To whom did it occur?
6. What is the urgency of the problem?
7. What is the interconnectedness of events?
8. What result came from which activity?
61. The classical model of decision making is based on four assumptions.
1. The decision maker operates to accomplish goals that are known and agreed on. Problems are precisely formulated and
defined.
2. The decision maker strives for conditions of certainty, gathering complete information.
3. The criteria for evaluating the alternatives are known. The decision maker selects the alternative that will maximize the
economic return to the organization.
4. The decision maker is rational and uses logic to assign values, order preferences, evaluate alternatives, and make the
decision that will maximize the attainment of organizational goals.
62. Programmed decisions involve situations that have occurred enough to enable decision rules to be developed and
applied in the future. Examples include job skills required to fill certain positions, the reorder point for manufacturing
inventory, and selection of freight routes for product deliveries.
Nonprogrammed decisions are made in response to situations that are unique, are poorly defined and largely unstructured,
and have important consequences for the organization. Examples are decisions to build a new factory, develop a new
product or service, and enter a new geographical market.
63. Decisions made under the condition of certainty have a high possibility of success. All of the information that the
decision maker needs is available. The decision maker knows the alternatives, the objectives, and the outcomes. Risk is a
situation where the decision maker knows the alternatives and the objectives. However, the outcomes are not known with
certainty, but the probabilities of the outcomes are known. Under conditions of uncertainty, the decision maker does not