98) The Strik-it-Rich Gold Mining Company is contemplating expanding its operations. To do so
it will need to purchase land that its geologists believe is rich in gold. Strik-it-Rich’s management
believes that the expansion will allow it to mine and sell an additional 2,000 troy ounces of gold
per year. The expansion, including the cost of the land, will cost $500,000. The current price of
gold bullion is $425 per ounce and one-year gold futures are trading at $450.50 = $425 × (1.06).
Extraction costs are $375 per ounce. The firm’s cost of capital is 10 percent.
Strik-it-Rich’s management is, however, concerned with the possibility that large sales of gold
reserves by Russia and the United Kingdom will drive the price of gold down to $390 for the
foreseeable future. On the other hand, management believes there is some possibility that the
world will soon return to a gold reserve international monetary system. In the latter event, the price
of gold would increase to at least $460 per ounce. The course of the future price of gold bullion
should become clear within a year. Strik-it-Rich can postpone the expansion for a year by buying a
purchase option on the land for $25,000.
Compute the NPV at the current price of gold. Hint: think of the gold mine as a perpetuity.
99) The Strik-it-Rich Gold Mining Company is contemplating expanding its operations. To do so
it will need to purchase land that its geologists believe is rich in gold. Strik-it-Rich’s management
believes that the expansion will allow it to mine and sell an additional 2,000 troy ounces of gold
per year. The expansion, including the cost of the land, will cost $500,000. The current price of
gold bullion is $425 per ounce and one-year gold futures are trading at $450.50 = $425 × (1.06).
Extraction costs are $375 per ounce. The firm’s cost of capital is 10 percent.
Strik-it-Rich’s management is, however, concerned with the possibility that large sales of gold
reserves by Russia and the United Kingdom will drive the price of gold down to $390 for the
foreseeable future. On the other hand, management believes there is some possibility that the
world will soon return to a gold reserve international monetary system. In the latter event, the price
of gold would increase to at least $460 per ounce. The course of the future price of gold bullion
should become clear within a year. Strik-it-Rich can postpone the expansion for a year by buying a
purchase option on the land for $25,000.
Compute the NPV at the two possible prices of gold.