The continent boasts a wealth of attractions for tourists
from all over the world with historical monuments such
as the cave paintings in Tassili N’Ajjer in Algeria, pyra-
mids of Egypt, Tsodilo in Botswana, Robben Island in
South Africa, cave churches in Ethiopia, and Gorée
Island in Senegal (Adeola, Boso, & Evans, 2017).
However, statistics suggest that tourism development
remains at startlingly low levels in Africa, compared to
other regions of the world. For example, in 2016,
tourism arrivals was 36.7 million in Africa, compared to
583.7 million in Europe & Central Asia (Figure 1).
The recent upsurge in mobile penetration and internet
usage in Africa presents an opportunity for digital tourism
in Africa. However, in the literature, there is no consensus
on the effects of mobile penetration and internet usage
on tourism. The few existing studies have mostly
assumed almost exclusively linear positive effects of
mobile penetration and internet usage on tourism (e.g.
Wang et al., 2012). Moreover, the dearth of rigorous
empirical studies and the consequent inadequate policy
guidance have been highlighted as one of the causes of
Africa’s largely underdeveloped tourism, despite its poten-
tials (Christie & Crompton, 2001). It is notable that recent
empirical studies on tourism in Africa have determined
several factors as the leading drivers of tourism into the
continent (e.g. Adeola et al., 2017). However, none of
the existing studies has looked empirically at the linear
and nonlinear effects of mobile penetration and internet
usage on tourism. This suggests a gap in research,
which is addressed in this study.
The objective of this study, therefore, is to investigate
the linear and nonlinear effects of mobile penetration
and internet usage on tourism in Africa. This study uses
system general method of moments over the period
1996–2017 for a sample of 40 African countries. The
study is significant: it fosters evidence-based decision-
making on the role of mobile penetration and internet
usage in tourism development in Africa. Tourism analysis
is important for governments and policymakers to repo-
sition the continent for enlarged benefits from tourism.
The findings from the study will help to facilitate the
digital connections in the tourism industry and
enhance the development of more effective public
policy towards boosting Africa’s tourism competitive-
ness. Therefore, the study provides significant evidence
for governments and policymakers around Africa and
the world on the effects of mobile phones and internet
on tourism.
Theory and literature review
In information technology and information systems lit-
erature, various theories are used to understand
adoption of new technologies including theory of
reasoned action, innovation diffusion theory, theory of
planned behaviour, the social cognitive theory, technol-
ogy acceptance models, the motivational model, the
model of perceived credibility utilisation and a hybrid
model combining constructs from technology accep-
tance models and theory of planned behaviour (Man-
soori, Sarabdeen, & Tchantchane, 2018; Tarhini, El-
Masri, Ali, & Serrano, 2016; Venkatesh, Thong, & Xu,
2012). Each of these models has sought to identify the
factors which influence the actual use of information
technology. A review and synthesis of these eight
models led to the unified theory of acceptance and use
of technology (UTAUT) (Venkatesh, Morris, Davis, &
Davis, 2003). With empirical analysis, Venkatesh et al.
(2003) found that effort expectancy, performance
expectancy, social influence and facilitating conditions
are the main factors determining technology adoption.
Among them, performance expectancy is related to per-
ceived usefulness and relative advantage. With respect
to the current study, UTAUT is applicable for the reason
that tourists or the tourism industry adopt mobile
phones and internet because of the perceived usefulness
and relative advantage.
Tourism demand, like the demand for any other com-
modity, is influenced by many factors which have been
identified by various studies in the literature (e.g.
Adeola & Evans, in press; Peng, Song, Crouch, & Witt,
2015). The most rigorous studies in this literature are
based on the use of gravity theory/model (e.g. Adeola
& Evans, in press; Morley, Rosselló, & Santana-Gallego,
2014). A vast literature has therefore investigated the
potential determinants of tourism demand (e.g. Adeola
et al., 2017; Martins, Gan, & Ferreira-Lopes, 2017; Pham,
Nghiem, & Dwyer, 2017). Potentially significant drivers
of tourism demand identified in the literature include
habit persistence in travel preferences (Adeola et al.,
2017; Peng et al., 2014), changes in tourists’tastes
(Muchapondwa & Pimhidzai, 2011), travel cost (Mucha-
pondwa & Pimhidzai, 2011; Saayman & Saayman, 2008),
income (Muchapondwa & Pimhidzai, 2011; Saayman &
Saayman, 2008), and the real effective exchange rate
(Adeola et al., 2017; Ibrahim, 2011).
However, most existing studies in the literature have
mainly concentrated on developed country contexts to
the neglect of the African context. Some of the recent
exceptions are Fourie and Santana-Gallego (2013),
Adeola et al. (2017), and Adeola and Evans (in press).
Fourie and Santana-Gallego (2013) identified the
factors that drive African-inbound and within-African
tourism for 175 origin/destination countries and found
that the determinants of African-inbound and within-
African tourism are not all that different from global
2O. ADEOLA AND O. EVANS