From financial to real markets
• A basic idea: Exchange rates must adjust to equate
supply and demand of currencies in the forex market
– A proxy for demand and supply of currency?
• Balance of Payments (BOP) accounting records
international trade and capital flows
– a simple accounting tool, similar to balance
sheets of companies
– It summarizes exactly how the domestic economy
interacts with the rest of the world
– The exchange rate are fundamentally driven by
changes in the balance of payments.