Intel
Intel essentially started both the memory business and also the microprocessor business
Why are semiconductors important?
Moore’s Law
• Double the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled
every 2 years
o Doubles in speed and lowers cost
o Has continues for 50+ years
• Will likely meet its economic limit first
o New semiconductor “fab” cost $6b
o Technically possible, but too expensive
o Distributed computing means desktop speed is less important
If Moore’s law applied to cars, space, air travel
• Cars: if fuel efficiency followed Moore’s Law, a person could drive a car for their
entire life on a single tank of gas
• Real Estate: If house prices fell at the same rate as transistors, a person could
purchase a home for the price of a candy
• Space: trip to moon took 3 days in 1969, today it would take 1 minute
• Air Travel: flight from NZ to NY takes as long as it takes to fasten seatbelt
Semiconductor manufacturing is a large industry dominated by US, Korea, Taiwan
• Semiconductor is $300b+ industry, growing at 6% CAGR
o Big three (Intel, Samsung, TSMC) make up almost 30%
• Highly profitable, but cyclical business
o Gross margins – 60%; EBITDA margin – 30%
o R&D expense – 20% of revenues; 5 of top 10 US patent holders
What are the characteristics of semiconductor manufacturing?
• Large facilities requiring lots of fixed costs
o Processing and automation equipment
o Factories maintain ultra-pure clean rooms
• Complex manufacturing process has high marginal costs too
o Hundreds of process steps
o Long production time of 4+ weeks