oNominal GDP is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in
a given year at the year’s prices
oReal GDP is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in a
given year at prices established in a base year
– Growth in GDP occurs from a variety of factors including:
oIncreases in population over time
oIncrease in the capital stock
oImprovements in technology
– The business cycle has the following stages
oExpansion (inflation is stable, corporate profits are rising, start-ups
outnumber bankruptcies, stock activity is strong, and job creation is
steady
oPeak (demand begins to exceed supply, labour and product shortages
cause wage increases and inflation to rise, interest rates rise and bond
prices fall, stock prices fall and market activity declines)
oContraction (real GDP decreases, firms begin layoffs, business failures
outnumber start-ups, falling employment erodes household income
and confidence, consumers spend less and save more)
oTrough (interest rates fall, triggering a bond rally, inflation falls,
consumers begin to spend more due to lower interest rates, stock
prices rally)
oRecovery (firms increase production to meet new demand, layoffs are
over but new hiring has not begin, unemployment remains high but
wage pressures are restrained)
– Economic indicators are statistics that are used to analyze business
conditions and current economic activity, and are classified as leading,
coincident, or lagging
oLeading indicators include housing starts, manufacturer’s new orders,
commodity prices, average hours worked per week, stock prices, and
the money supply
oCoincident indicators include personal income, GDP, industrial
production, and retail sales
oLagging indicators include unemployment, the inflation rate, business
loans and interest on borrowing, and labour costs
– There are three types of unemployment (unemployed being people looking
for work but can’t find any)
oCyclical unemployment, which is tied directly to the business cycle
oFrictional unemployment, which is the result of people entering and
leaving the workforce
oStructural employment, which is when workers cannot find jobs due
to lacking necessary skills, living in the wrong area, or not finding a
suitable wage rate