1
Cohabitation and Marital Dissolution:
The Significance of Marriage Cohort
Wendy D. Manning
and
Jessica A. Cohen
Department of Sociology &
Center for Family and Demographic Research
Bowling Green State University
Bowling Green, OH 43403
419-372-2850
wmannin@ bgsu.edu 2
Cohabitation and Marital Dissolution
ABSTRACT
An ongoing question for family researchers has been to explain why a positive association
between cohabitation and marital dissolution exists when one of the primary reasons to
cohabit is
to test relationship compatibility. Recently, researchers have discovered that the
relationship
between cohabitation and marital instability is complex and depends in part on marriage
cohort,
race/ethnicity, and marriage plans. Drawing on the 2006-2008 National Survey of Family
Growth, we examine whether and to what extent variation in premarital cohabitation
experiences
influence marital stability. Our analyses reveal that a “€cohabitation effect”€™ exists
only for early
marriage cohorts (women married prior to 1996) and there is no cohabitation effect among
more
women married since 1996. More specifically, among women married prior to 1996 we
find that
only white and foreign-born Hispanic women experience a cohabitation effect. In
addition, the
cohabitation effect among women in the later marriage cohort is masked until marriage
plans are
considered. This research contributes to our understanding of cohabitation, marital
instability
and broader family change. 3
Cohabitation and Marital Stability
The increase in cohabitation is well documented such that the majority of newly weds have
cohabited prior to their first marriage (Bramlett and Mosher 2002; Kennedy and Bumpass
2008).
Cohabitation serves to help young adults test out their relationship (Bumpass, Sweet, and
Cherlin
2001; Manning and Smock 2009; Manning, Giordano, and Longmore 2010; Smock,
Huang,
Bergstrom, and Manning forthcoming) which should help determine whether they are
compatible
before getting married. However, many researchers have found a positive association
between
cohabitation and marital dissolution (e.g., Jose et al. 2010; Kamp Dush, Cohen, and Amato
2003;
Stanley, Rhoades, and Markman 2006, see Smock 2000). At the same time, researchers
have
recognized that the relationship between cohabitation and marital instability is complex
and
varies among subgroups of cohabitors. Prior work indicates that the effect of cohabitation
differs
according to marriage plans, sexual and cohabitation history, race and ethnicity as well as
marriage cohort (Brown et al. 2008; DeMaris and McDonald 1993; Phillips and Sweeney
2005;
Reinhold 2010; Rhoades et al. 2008; Stanley et al. 2010; Teachman 2003).
We draw on recently collected data from the National Survey of Family Growth (2006-
2008) to examine the relationship between cohabitation and marital dissolution. We first
assess
whether there is a cohabitation effect and examine factors that may explain the
cohabitation
effect. However, it is important to move beyond explaining the effect of cohabitation,
because a
number of studies indicate there is no cohabitation effect for some subgroups. Drawing
on the
diffusion approach, we examine whether a cohabitation effect exists among recent
marriage
cohorts. Prior studies have relied on national data collected 15 years ago and our work
provides
an important update. Based on previous research we also consider whether a cohabitation
effect
exists among women with varying premarital experiences (plans for marriage, cohabitation
4
history, cohabitation duration, sexual activity) and race or ethnicity. These findings will
provide
up to date analyses of the influence of cohabitation and help to move forward our
understanding
marital stability and the meaning of cohabitation.
BACKGROUND
The increase in cohabitation is well documented with increasing percentages of young
adults experiencing cohabitation. Furthermore cohabitation has become the modal path to
marriage such that 44% of women cohabited prior to their first marriage in the late 1980s
(1985-
1989) and 62% in the late 1990s (Bumpass and Lu 2000; Kennedy and Bumpass 2008).
At the
same time, there has been a plateau in divorce trends with about one-half of first marriages
ending in separation or divorce (Raley and Bumpass 2008). Thus, it appears that the rise
in
cohabitation is not associated with a similar growth in divorce.
Empirical and theoretical arguments suggest cohabitation may be a relationship in which
marriages least likely to succeed are weeded out (Bumpass and Sweet 1989). Both
quantitative
and qualitative data indicate that young adults view cohabitation as a way to test out the
relationship and some hope to “divorce-proof”€ their marriages by spending time
cohabiting with
their future spouse (Huang et al. 2010; Manning and Smock 2009; Manning, Longmore
and
Giordano 2010). More generally, in 2008 nearly 70% of high school seniors report that
living
together before marriage is a good way to test compatibility and these levels have been
increasing steadily over the last thirty years (National Center for Family and Marriage
Research
2010). While determining whether their relationship is suited for marriage may not be the
primary motivation for initially cohabiting, it appears to be a latent motivation or factor
that
develops during the course of the relationship (Sassler 2004). The substantive findings
that
cohabitation is perceived as a place to filter out poor matches are in line with theoretical
marital 5
search models (Becker 1981) in that cohabitation provides the best way to garner
information
about prospective spouses (England and Farkas 1986). Furthermore, Oppenheimer (1988)
argues that premarital socialization helps to improve marriage matches, and cohabitation
“facilitates the kind of interaction that increases the knowledge of oneself and of a
potential
marriage partner and of the kind of mutual adaptations that are so essential to stable
relationship.”€ (p.583). The irony is that couples who cohabited prior to marriage
experience
significantly higher odds of marital dissolution than their counterparts who did not cohabit
and
married (Jose et al. 2010). As a consequence researchers have tried to understand why
this
counterintuitive finding holds true (see Smock 2000).
The question about the mechanisms underlying the ways that cohabitation influences
marital stability is not new. Newcomb and Bentler (1980) studied 162 couples in Los
Angeles
and concluded that there are two (not mutually exclusive) approaches to understand the
cohabitation effect: selection or cohabitation experience. Thirty years later virtually every
paper
on cohabitation and marital stability continues to draw on these same two overarching
explanations. One argument is that selection is operating, meaning that the same
characteristics
that predict cohabitation also are associated with marital dissolution. Many studies find
that
selection explains some of the effect of cohabitation (e.g., DeMaris and McDonald 1993;
Kamp
Dush et al. 2003; Phillips and Sweeney 2005). Additionally, Lillard et al. (1995) explain
the
effect of cohabitation completely by statistically correcting for selection processes.
Similarly,
the cohabitation effect on marital instability was explained by delinquency, religiosity and
race/ethnicity using NLSY data (Woods and Emery 2002) or type of marriage (covenant
vs.
standard) in Louisana (Brown et al. 2006). An outgrowth of the selection argument
proposed by
Stanley and colleagues joins commitment theory with the concept of inertia. They claim
that 6
once couples cohabit they end up on a fast track toward marriage and as a result of this
“inertia”€
couples end up marrying who are not necessarily highly committed to one another (Stanley
and
Rhoades 2009). Selection occurs because cohabitation can lead to marriage among
couples who
are not mutually committed to marriage at the outset of cohabitation.
The second and related explanation for the cohabitation effect is that the cohabitation
experience itself is tied to a waning commitment to marriage (Axinn and Barber 1997;
Axinn
and Thornton 1992; Clarkberg et al. 1995; DeMaris and McDonald 1993; Kamp Dush et
al.
2003; Stanley et al. 2006). Young adults report more supportive attitudes toward divorce
and
cohabitation after cohabiting (Axinn and Barber 1997; Axinn and Thornton 1992;
Cunningham
and Thornton 2005). Specifically, the experience of cohabitation leads to increased
acceptance
of divorce and individuals in longer lasting cohabiting unions have even less positive
attitudes
toward family formation, marriage and childbearing (Axinn and Barber 1997). In
addition,
research that cannot completely explain the cohabitation effect with demographic variables
is
used to lend support for the argument that experience of cohabitation itself leads to an
increased
risk of marital instability difficulties (Kamp Dush et al., 2003). However, a more direct
test
indicates that attitudes toward marital permanence do not reduce the effect of cohabitation
on
marital instability (DeMaris and McDonald 1993). The general consensus in the literature
is that
both general mechanisms are operating.
While there has been a focus on studying the mechanisms underlying the cohabitation
effect, there are a number of studies which have documented that for some subgroups there
is no
cohabitation effect. The literature indicates variation in the effect of cohabitation on
marital
stability according to marriage cohort, engagement status, cohabitation experience, sexual
history, and race and ethnicity (Philips and Sweeney 2005; Reinhold 2010; Stanely et al.
2010; 7
Teachman 2003). Thus, to best understand the cohabitation effect it is necessary to focus
on
those who actually experience a cohabitation effect. Research that does not recognize
these
well-known subgroup differentials may lead to inaccurate conclusions about the
cohabitation
effect. Our work contributes to prior studies by explicitly examining the contemporary
context.
We use recently collected data to assess the influence of cohabitation on marital stability.
The bulk of national-based research reporting a positive effect of cohabitation on marital
instability is based on data collected some time ago (NSFG 2002, NSFH 1987/1988) and
does
not reflects recent marriage and cohabitation patterns. The increase in cohabitation and
growing
acceptance of cohabitation suggests that cohabitation may be becoming less selective and a
more
typical family pattern than in the past (Schoen 1992; Reinhold 2010; Vaus et al. 2003).
Reinhold
(2010) reports that recent marriage cohorts (married after 1993) do not experience a
cohabitation
effect. Other work does not find a trend in the cohabitation effect (Kamp Dush et al. 2003;
Teachman 2002, 2003); however they are based on data that reflect many marriages prior
to
1993. The diffusion approach proposed by Leifbroer and Dourleijn (2006) states that as