severe recession and by the spring of 2013 unemployment had risen to a peak of
27.2%. After experiencing a prolonged recession in the wake of the global
financial crisis that began in 2008, in 2014 Spain marked the first full year of
positive economic growth in seven years, largely due to increased private
consumption. At the onset of the financial crisis, Spain’s GDP contracted by 3.7%
in 2009, ending a 16-year growth trend, and continued contracting through most of
2013. In 2013, the government successfully shored up struggling banks – exposed
to the collapse of Spain’s depressed real estate and construction sectors – and in
January 2014 completed an EU-funded restructuring and recapitalization program.
Until 2014, credit contraction in the private sector, fiscal austerity, and
high unemployment weighed on domestic consumption and investment. The
unemployment rate rose from a low of about 8% in 2007 to more than 26% in
2013, but labor reforms prompted a modest reduction to 22% in 2015. High
unemployment strained Spain’s public finances, as spending on social benefits
increased while tax revenues fell. Spain’s budget deficit peaked at 11.4% of GDP
in 2010, but Spain gradually reduced the deficit to just under 7% of GDP in 2013–
14, and 4.7% of GDP in 2015. Public debt has increased substantially – from
60.1% of GDP in 2010 to nearly 101% in 2015.
Exports were resilient throughout the economic downturn and helped to
bring Spain’s current account into surplus in 2013 for the first time since 1986,
where it remained in 2014-15. Rising labor productivity and an internal
devaluation resulting from moderating labor costs and lower inflation have helped
to improve foreign investor interest in the economy and positive FDI flows have
been restored.
The government’s efforts to implement labor, pension, healthcare, tax,
and education reforms – aimed at supporting investor sentiment – have become
overshadowed by political activity in 2015 in anticipation of the national
parliamentary elections in December. The European Commission criticized Spain’s
2016 budget for its easing of austerity measures and its alleged overly optimistic
growth and deficit projections. Spain’s borrowing costs are dramatically lower
since their peak in mid-2012, and despite the recent uptick in economic activity,
inflation has dropped sharply, from 1.5% in 2013 to a negative 0.6% in 2015.